How is the role of banking changing? What should banks be focused on to evolve in this new era?
Everything is moving towards digital. Banking used to be focused on the physical distribution of paper in a localized network. Now it is about digital distribution of data in a globalized network.
The Internet has changed how we value trade, goods and services. As a result, banks have a much different role than they did in the past. The focus should now be on life and relationships. Banks should start to branch out into the storage of our feelings.
If you look at the history of the Internet, it morphs every four to five years. This means we’re in the Internet’s 6th generation. Recently it was about sharing through blogs and social networks. Now we are in the Internet of value with cryptocurrencies. We are in the currency of new ways to connect such as through person to person (P2P) payments and lending. Consumers no longer need to connect through intermediaries. The next evolution will be through the Internet of things and then robots.
The financial services landscape has changed drastically over the last 20 years. We are now at the tipping point of a massive change. The Internet of value is far greater than cryptocurrencies. It’s about how we value ideas and individuals. There are many ways to create value and then monetize it, but banks are not capitalizing on those opportunities. Amazon, Facebook and Google all do it well.
How should bank move to the storage of feelings?
If I create things that people think are of value, then I will generate revenue. For instance, I blog everyday and don’t have advertising. So how do I make money? Through face-to-face conferences because they want my ideas.
In this new era, people are creating commerce from individual ideas versus mass market ideas. Because of this, banks should focus on small businesses and individuals in a more personal way. They should also think about the digital desk. One hundred years from now, people won’t read what we have in the media. Devices will be too small to access that. So how will we access memories from our parents?
Banks should become memory stores, where they hold our digital assets at the value store. Right now we trust companies like Google and Facebook for our photos and storage. But should we be trust them? There is a big opportunity for banks here.
What value do banks have to offer over tech companies in this area?
If you can name any other industry where numerous companies have been around for more than 100 years, I’d be impressed. But technology is erased every 10 years. Talking about memory store, there is no other industry which is as capable as financial services is for holding it that long.
Banks move slowly because they are regulated, so it may not be the play. But at the same time some banks do get it and are more agile. The challenge is that 90% of banks have legacy systems. So how can banks become facets of change when they are set up to almost stop change?
How can banks be around for another 100 years?
They have to change their business model. They are currently focused on the physical distribution of paper in a localized network that is branch focused and have just added technology on top of the branch. This is unsustainable and unfit for the digital world.
For the digital world, you have to have the right infrastructure to manage data. Financial institutions need to reinvent themselves from scratch to get away from the distribution of paper through channels and move to the distribution of data.
However, most banks don’t have the guts to do it. Right now there are 30,000 banks around the world, and that number will decline to 10,000 soon enough. Sixty percent of the industry will be wiped out in next 10-15 years.
What should banks do with their legacy infrastructure?
There are three approaches: Evolutionary, revolutionary and transformational.
The evolutionary approach is about transitioning to be more digital. It is difficult, but it can work if it is done right. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia is one example of a bank who has done it well. They moved their infrastructure to the cloud early and as a result are very agile. Most institutions are wary of the cloud though. This is going to cause them big issues because if they don’t leverage this and big data, they won't be successful.
The revolutionary approach is about creating a new bank. It’s the idea of “let’s go out and create something fresh. If it becomes massive then we’ll be successful.” One example is BBVA buying Simple.
The final and best approach is the transformational approach. The best example of this is with mBank. They took an existing bank, created a new digital platform and then migrated customers to the new platform. (See the Money Summit interview with mBank here).
What are your thoughts on BBVA Compass upgrading their core? Is that what other banks in the U.S should be doing?
BBVA says they are software house, not a bank. I see a lot of banks out there say they need to be technology companies too. That is important.
JP Morgan Chase says it best with their shareholder letter. They have a huge concern with fintech. They believe when you see P2P, social and crowdfunding taking out lending and then P2P taking out the intermediary, that means a lot of trouble for banks. So they are reacting to that by hiring Silicon Valley to reinvent the bank.
The question is, are they moving fast enough?
What would you say to the c-suite who are trying to make the digital transformation?
Everyone is saying digital is important, but if you looking at the surveys of where people are actually spending, they are investing in regulation. So the concern is that there is a mismatch between priority and focus. If the c-suite are not articulating a digital fintech strategy, then what are they doing? If you are not articulating a strategy with digital as the strategy, then you don’t have a future.
What are your thoughts on the rise of fintech and Silicon Valley?
Most banks ignore fintech players because they are not big enough to worry about yet. The few banks that don’t ignore fintech players think they can partner with startups and acquire them once they are big enough. But why would a fintech company want to be acquired by a bank when the fintech company could become bigger than the bank? I think that’s complacent thinking by the banks.
What are the biggest areas of fintech financial institutions should be worried about?
There has been $12.7 billion invested in fintech in the last five years. One third is focused on payments, one third on P2P, and one third on data and analytics. Given that two thirds of this is focused on payments and lending, think about what global investors are trying to say here. They believe this is the low-hanging fruit. If these areas become disrupted, what are banks left with? Deposits and not very much else.
If I were a bank, I would be highly concerned with the market taking market share away from me.
To conclude, how should banks look to generate new revenue to make up for the revenue that is being eroded?
Banks’ focus should be on new forms of value exchange. They should focus on new forms of value that people want to store. It’s not just trade or commerce, but the relationship of ideas.
To get there though, they need to focus on lowering costs. Innovators are coming in with models that are focused on servers and processors instead of branches and people. If banks want to compete, the questions is how quickly can they shift their focus to be around processes and data. That is what all of the new fintech models are doing and this is the new modern era of banking.
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